第一创业-宏观利率周报:全球央行货币政策渐趋分化

页数: 15页
发布机构: 第一创业
发布日期: 2017-07-12
2017 S1080510120001 S1080116070058 0755-23838251 zengzhiwei@fcsc.com       ——  7 11 First Capital Securities Corporation Limited 1 1.1 6 32.2 5 5 88.8 SDR 1 30567.9 5 21969.4 SDR SDR 4 5 SDR 4 WIND 5 2.31% 10 3.6BP 0.086% 1.3028 6 10 10 18BP 0.54% 10 22BP 1.28% 6 1.64% 1.1427 1.46% 112.3850 6 10BP 1.07% 6 2 6 WIND 2 First Capital Securities Corporation Limited 3 6 WIND SDR 4 5 SDR SDR SDR 4 1.2 6 CPI 6 CPI PPI CPI 1.5% PPI 5 PPI 5.5% 5 6 CPI 5 2.2% 6 CPI 1.2% 5 5 5 0.1 6 0.4 3 First Capital Securities Corporation Limited 6 CPI 1% 0.2% 5 5 0.3 0.1 0.1% 5 6 CPI 0.1 6 CPI 7 CPI CPI CPI CPI 4 6 CPI 6 CPI 5 WIND 5 6 WIND 4 First Capital Securities Corporation Limited 6 PPI 6 6 PPI 0.2% 6 PPI 5 0.1 5 PPI PPI 6 6 PPI PPI 5 WIND 7 6 WIND 5 First Capital Securities Corporation Limited 2 2.1 6 9 6 6 22.2 17.8 0.1 17 4.3% 0.2% 18.7 4.4% 0.2% 0.3% 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% 62.8% 62.7% 62.7% 34.4 34.4 8 6 13.8 0.5 14.7 4.3% 0.1% 6 15.2 -0.1 6 6 2.5% 6 34.5 6 WIND 9 6 WIND 6 First Capital Securities Corporation Limited 10 6 WIND 11 6 WIND 12 6 WIND 7 First Capital Securities Corporation Limited 6 2001 6 6 6 1 FOMC 6 2017 2 9 9 12 6 6 9 12 12 6 9 9 9 9 12 5 12 12 2.2 5 0.4 PMI56.3% 5 6 CPI PMI55.4% 6 5 0.5 5 1.3% 1.4% PMI57.4% 0.9 9.3% 4 CPI 1.1% 8 First Capital Securities Corporation Limited 0.9% 2.6% 5 4 0.4% 4 0.3 6 5 6 5 6 2013 7 13 6 WIND 14 5 WIND 9 First Capital Securities Corporation Limited 15 6 CPI CPI WIND 16 5 WIND 2.3 5 1.49% CPI 0.0% 0.3 5 1.4% 0.4 PMI52.9% 4.0% 1.48% 5 CPI 4 6 0.7% -0.1% -1.4% 5 2.0% 3.2% 6 PMI53.3% 5 5 0.5 5 6.8% 5.7% 5 3.1% 0.4% 2.8% 4 43.3 5 0.5% 5 -1.6% PMI52.4% 5 0.3 -3.3% -3.6% 10 First Capital Securities Corporation Limited -3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 2.7% -0.47% 1.95 5 -0.2% -1151 -0.31% 5 1.65 5536 3 2017/07/03 6 PMI 52% 43.6 52.4% 43.3 49.6% 50.4% 59.3% 55.0% 55.1% 11.1% 56.7% 57.3% 9.3% 59.6% 54.8% 55.2% 11.3% 54.3% 57.4% 9.3% 52.1% 54.9% 52.0% 57.8% 19.4% 17.0% 56.0% 0.0% 4.3% 54.8% -0.4% 3.3% 53.0% 53.4% 51.6% 52.9% PMI PMI 52.8% 51.5% 51.6% 51.1% PMI PMI PMI PMI PMI 55.1% 55.2% 55.3% 55.3% 53.7% 53.6% 54.5% 56.9% 56.6% 54.0% 6 6 PMI 6 6 6 PMI PMI PMI 5 6 PMI PMI 6 5 6 Markit 6 ISM PMI PMI 2017/07/04 6 6 PMI 5 5 PPI PPI 2017/07/05 6 6 PMI PMI 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 11 First Capital Securities Corporation Limited 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 PMI PMI PMI PMI PMI 56.1% 54.7% 55.7% 53.8% 54.4% 0.1% 2.5% 56.4% 55.4% 56.3% 53.4% 53.8% 0.4% 2.6% -2.1% 3.5% -- 1.0% 3.7% -- -85.1 11.8 25.3 24.4 194.8 53.0% 53.0% 56.9% --580.0 -629.9 15.8 24.8 195.6 54.2% 53.0% 57.4% 12519 0.5% 104.2 117.1 12498.5 0.7% 104.7 115.5 30536 30567.9 0.8% 2.9% -55.35 -31.00 -0.5% 0.6% -1.2% 1.1% -0.1% 1.2% 1.2% 5.0% -48.86 -23.00 1.9% 3.2% 2.0% 3.3% -0.1% 1.0% 13.8 4.3% 0.2% 2.5% 62.7% 756 22.2 4.4% 0.2% 2.5% 62.8% 763 2017/07/06 5 5 6 6 7 6 FOMC 30 API 30 EIA 6 ADP 1 24 6 Markit 6 Markit 6 ISM 6 PMI PMI PMI 2017/07/07 6 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 Wind 12 First Capital Securities Corporation Limited 2017/07/10 5 5 5 5 6 6 CPI PPI 5 5 5 6 LMCI -3.1% 2.7% 19519.00 5536.00 -3.6% 0.6% 16539.00 -1151.00 1.5% 5.5% 1.5% 5.5% 181.00 0.9% 1.2% 220.00 1.4% 1.2% 2.3 1.5 3.9% 3.4% 3.9% 3.3% 1.0% -0.4% --- 6044.00 0.3% -0.4% ---- 0.0% 2.1% 1.2% ---- -0.7% 3.1% 2.3% 0.5% 1.4% ------ -580.0 -629.9 -- ---- 2816.00 22.1% 15.5% 14.8% 8.7% 408.10 ------- 0.2% 1.6% 0.2% 1.5% 0.0% 0.8% ------- 2017/07/11 6 6 M2 M3 5 5 5 JOLTS 5 5 2017/07/12 6 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 7 7 7 7 API EIA 2017/07/13 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 CPI CPI CPI CPI CPI CPI 13 First Capital Securities Corporation Limited 5 6 0.0% 0.7% --- -0.0% 0.3% 2.4% 2.1% 24.8 195.6 -- --------- 5 5 5 -3.3% 6.8% 4.3% ---- 5 5 196.0 179.0 36.01 ---- -0.1% 0.1% 1.9% 1.7% -0.3% -0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 76.6% -0.4% -0.2% 95.1 ------------- 6 6 6 6 7 7 CPI CPI PPI PPI PPI PPI 8 1 2017/07/14 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 7 CPI CPI CPI CPI Wind 14 First Capital Securities Corporation Limited 6 20% 6 5-20% 6 ±5% 6 5% 115 20 TEL:0755-23838888 FAX:0755-23838999 P.R.China:518046 www.firstcapital.com.cn TEL: 010-63197788 P.R.China:100030 9 8 FAX: 010-63197777 TEL:021-68551658 P.R.China:200135 53 FAX:021-68551281
宏观利率周报:全球央行货币政策渐趋分化
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第一创业 - 宏观利率周报:全球央行货币政策渐趋分化
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宏观利率周报:全球央行货币政策渐趋分化
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